There was a huge pot-hole near my house and a number of hubcaps had accumulated nearby for obvious reasons.

What is the mathematical chance one of those hubcaps might match a missing hubcap on my Toyota Yaris? Is it related to wheel / rim size, or the number of attach points?

  • Easiest way is to just check? If you are missing a hubcap and it suddenly disappeared after hitting said pothole, I'd say your chances are pretty high, like in the 80-90% range, but that's a SWAG. Really, if you want the mathematical probability of it, you should ask this question over on Math.SE. We try not to bend our minds around such questions. Feb 27, 2016 at 0:40

1 Answer 1


You should honestly post this on a statistics forum, try Cross Validated. The hubcap is dependent on both the rim size AND the position and number of the lug nuts.

  • Thanks! Yes, that's what I was wondering -- if the number of lug nuts was relevant, or if I could just swap it out with a similar (also round, also fake metallic color) one. Feb 27, 2016 at 1:49
  • 1
    Something you could try, and I have seen it done is use zip ties. But it looks really bad. imgur.com/vkviE5q
    – krthkskmr
    Feb 27, 2016 at 4:38

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